Here are the numbers from our test: My answer to this discrepancy: Power is always lost when using an inverter and there are parasitic draws from our battery we cannot control such as vent fans, LED lights, radio, etc.
The first measured 24 hour production from Bakken wells is a very good predictor of the future production of that well. And it has also been confirmed that new wells with higher well numbers are producing a lot less.
By searching these two lists, then eliminating the duplicates that appear on both lists, we find that perhaps 70 to 80 percent of all wells report their first 24 hours of measured production.
An example below, and notice the second well listed does not give any production numbers: I have collected, from this source, the data from 2, wells dating from November 1st to the present date. Enno Peters gathered data from several thousand Bakken wells dating from the early Bakken t mid There were a more matches than this but had no data or incomplete data.
But it was mostly because only a little over half my data overlapped his. I converted his monthly data to barrels per data by dividing the monthly data by There were sometimes great anomalies in the data so to smooth things out, on the first three charts below, I used a 50 well average.
Here are the results.
The horizontal and right axis is first 24 hour barrels. When I sorted the data by production in the first 24 hours I found a strong correlation with the second months production.
This was especially true with first 24 hour production up to 1, barrels. Sorting all wells by the second months production we see a very strong correlation to the first 24 hours of measured production.
The Horizontal axis here is the first measured 24 hours of production. From this chart you can see that the conversion from the first 24 hour production to the second months production is non-linear.
For instance if the first 24 hours production was between 50 and barrels then we could expect the second months production to be about half that.
From about barrels to barrels the first 24 hours then the average second months production would be about one third that number. Or if the from to barrels the first 24 hours we could expect the second months production to be about one fourth that number.
The average second months production was barrels per day while the average third months production was barrels per day. However I collected some data of my own from July and August Of the 1, wells in this sample, 87 or 7. Probably because they had not on been line long enough.
Also 16 or 1. This means the well was shut down that month. For all months with no production that cell was was left blank rather than incerting a zero. Therefore months with no production were not counted in any average.
Blanks are not averaged, zeros are. The data is in this format: This was a very time consuming process since each well number had to be searched then copied and pasted into my Excel spreadsheet, one well at a time.
The right axis as well as the horizontal axis is the 24 hour barrels sort number. The left axis is barrels per day. One can clearly see that the higher the 1st measured 24 hour production the higher the daily production for the next full, or nearly full, month.
We can now say, with very strong conviction, that the first 24 hours of measured production will tell us just how well that particular well is likely to perform in the future.
I think it is highly likely that they waited until a lot of the frack water had been pushed out before they started to measure. At any rate, based on the data I have researched above, it is definitely a useful guide to the future production of a particular well.
There are 2, wells in this sample. Of course there were a few more wells than this but their first 24 hours of production was not published by the NDIC. What you see here is clearly the first 24 hours of production declining as the well numbers increase.
However the decrease did not start until we were about half way through well numbers in the 25,s. First 24hr production was up and down until about well number then a steady decline set in. The highest well numbers are averaging just under 1, barrels the first 24 hours.
That translates to just under bpd the second month if past first barrels at that level hold true in the future. This chart shows the average first barrels per day for groups of well numbers.The workforce is changing as businesses become global and technology erodes geographical and physical plombier-nemours.com organizations are critical to enabling this transition and can utilize next-generation tools and strategies to provide world-class support regardless of location, platform or device.
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